FRACTAL MODELING OF SANIMETER TIME SEQUENCES OF SOLAR RADIO RADIATION
Keywords:
Solar radiation, Unsteady time series, Synergetic, Fractal analysis, Forecasting, Space weatherAbstract
In this work, we used the data of solar observations obtained by various radio astronomy devices. Since these data show the unsteadiness of processes in the solar atmosphere, it is important to use the dynamic fractal analysis method. In other words, when studying the complex processes taking place on the Sun, we took into account synergetic approaches - nonlinearity and
dissipativity in dynamical systems. It was found that if the found values of the fractal estimate 1 < Dt < 1.5, obtained on the basis of the time series of fluctuations in the solar radio emission, then the existing series has a persistent (inertial) character. The practical application of the modern dynamic method of fractal analysis made it possible to determine the dynamic parameters (evolution of spots, forecast are events and estimate their power, etc.) on the Sun.